Only states with more than 10 fatalities reported on any given day are shown.

USA

CA

CO

FL

GA

IL

LA

MA

MI

NJ

NY

PA

WA

The nowcast for the whole US is calculated from case reports at the national level. It is not the sum of the state level nowcasts. The nowcast for the whole US does not necessarily agree with the the sum of state level nowcasts.

Parameters

Infection fatality rate = 0.009

Symptom-onset-to-reporting interval:
Distribution: gamma
Mean = 5.95
Shape = 2.2788163

Incubation period:
Distribution: gamma
Mean = 5.89
Shape = 2.4265511

Symmptom-onset-to-death interval:
Distribution: gamma
Mean = 16
Shape = 4